Ezra Karger
Bio
Ezra Karger is a Senior Economist in the economic research department at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, where he has worked since 2021. He holds a B.A. in mathematics, statistics, and economics as well as a Ph.D. in economics, all from the University of Chicago. His research spans labor economics, public economics, economic history, and forecasting, with recent work on public library returns, antitrust enforcement, and high-frequency economic indicators. He is also the Director of Research at the Forecasting Research Institute (FRI), where he works with Philip Tetlock and collaborators to advance the science of forecasting applied to hard-to-resolve questions. His most prominent x-risk-adjacent project is the Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament (XPT), a large-scale forecasting study involving superforecasters and domain experts producing probability estimates for catastrophic and extinction-level risks over the next century. The XPT was funded in part by the Long-Term Future Fund and its findings have been published in peer-reviewed journals and discussed widely in EA and rationalist communities.
Links
- Personal Website
- https://ezrakarger.com/
- Twitter / X
- LessWrong
- -
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Details
- Last Updated
- Mar 22, 2026, 3:56 PM UTC
- Created
- Mar 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC