
Epoch AI
Epoch AI is a data-first nonprofit research institute founded in 2022 to investigate the key drivers, progress, and societal impacts of artificial intelligence. The organization builds and maintains comprehensive databases covering AI model training compute, ML hardware performance, frontier data centers, AI company investment, and chip sales. Through empirical trend analysis and quantitative forecasting, Epoch helps grantmakers, policymakers, and technical researchers form better-grounded views on when and how transformative AI capabilities will emerge. The organization also conducts independent AI capability benchmarking, including its flagship FrontierMath benchmark for advanced mathematical reasoning, and offers commissioned research and consultations to government agencies and industry partners.
Funding Details
- Annual Budget
- $5,000,000
- Monthly Burn Rate
- $416,667
- Current Runway
- -
- Funding Goal
- $3,000,000
- Funding Raised to Date
- $23,200,000
- Fiscal Sponsor
- Rethink Priorities
Theory of Change
Epoch AI's theory of change holds that better empirical data and quantitative forecasts about AI progress will lead to better decisions by those with the most leverage over AI's trajectory — including policymakers, grantmakers, and AI researchers. By rigorously tracking compute scaling, algorithmic efficiency, and capability benchmarks, Epoch provides a shared factual foundation that reduces confusion and calibrates expectations about the pace and character of AI development. More accurate forecasts enable funders and governments to allocate resources more wisely, researchers to identify genuine bottlenecks, and policymakers to act with appropriate urgency. Epoch also increases transparency by publishing its data openly, briefing government bodies, and engaging the broader AI safety community, amplifying the epistemic impact of its research.
Grants Received
from Open Philanthropy
from Open Philanthropy
from Survival and Flourishing Fund
from Open Philanthropy
from Open Philanthropy
from Open Philanthropy
Projects
No linked projects.
People
No linked people.
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Details
- Last Updated
- Apr 3, 2026, 1:16 AM UTC
- Created
- Mar 20, 2026, 2:34 AM UTC