Augur is an AI research consultancy founded by Nikhil Mulani that provides foresight and strategy related to frontier AI development and deployment. The consultancy focuses on three priority areas: monitoring and analyzing the hardware and software supply chains for frontier AI model development (including semiconductors, compute, and critical minerals), investigating highly strategic use cases for frontier AI systems, and researching control and ownership structures over key AI development assets. Augur takes on projects from civil society, government, and industry clients, and emphasizes a non-ideological, empirical approach to research.
Funding Details
- Annual Budget
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- Monthly Burn Rate
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- Current Runway
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- Funding Goal
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- Funding Raised to Date
- $180,000
- Fiscal Sponsor
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Theory of Change
Augur's theory of change centers on the belief that the frontier AI supply chain is a critical leverage point for shaping how advanced AI systems are developed and deployed. By providing rigorous, empirical, non-ideological analysis of the hardware, software, and ownership structures underlying frontier AI development, Augur aims to inform better policy decisions by governments, civil society organizations, and industry actors. Understanding who controls key inputs like semiconductors, compute infrastructure, datasets, and capital flows allows policymakers to design more effective interventions for managing AI risks, including export controls, R&D investment strategies, and international partnerships. By forecasting supply chain changes and identifying strategic AI use cases, Augur helps decision-makers anticipate and prepare for shifts in AI capabilities and their implications for governance, security, and international relations.
Grants Received
from Survival and Flourishing Fund
Projects
No linked projects.
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Details
- Last Updated
- Apr 2, 2026, 9:58 PM UTC
- Created
- Mar 18, 2026, 11:18 PM UTC