Doom Debates
Doom Debates, hosted by software entrepreneur Liron Shapira, is a podcast and YouTube show featuring structured debates between prominent thinkers on AI extinction risk. The show bills itself as the premier forum for 'doomers and non-doomers' to engage substantively on AI safety, regularly featuring a recurring segment called 'What's Your P(Doom)?' where guests share their probability estimates of AI-caused extinction. Guests have included Eliezer Yudkowsky, Max Tegmark, Vitalik Buterin, and others. The show publishes episodes on a semiweekly basis and operates as a fiscally sponsored project under Manifund.org.
Funding Details
- Annual Budget
- $100,000
- Monthly Burn Rate
- $8,333
- Current Runway
- -
- Funding Goal
- -
- Funding Raised to Date
- -
- Fiscal Sponsor
- Manifund.org
Theory of Change
Doom Debates operates on the theory that mainstream public awareness of AI extinction risk is critically low, and that high-quality, high-profile debate is the most effective lever for changing that. By hosting structured debates between credible thinkers on both sides of the P(doom) question, the show creates social accountability — making it professionally costly for prominent figures to dismiss AI extinction risk without substantive engagement. Growing the show's subscriber base is treated as a direct proxy for reducing P(doom), since broader public awareness increases pressure on policymakers and developers to take AI safety seriously. The show also aims to build 'social infrastructure' for ongoing discourse, serving as a permanent forum for these debates as AI capabilities advance.
Grants Received
No grants recorded.
Projects
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People
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Details
- Last Updated
- Apr 2, 2026, 10:01 PM UTC
- Created
- Mar 19, 2026, 10:32 PM UTC