Daniel Kokotajlo

Daniel Kokotajlo is the co-founder and Executive Director of the AI Futures Project, a nonprofit based in Berkeley, California focused on researching the future impact of artificial intelligence. He studied philosophy at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, where his research focused on formal epistemology, decision theory, and applied ethics, before leaving to work at AI Impacts and then the Center on Long-Term Risk. From 2022 to 2024 he was a governance researcher at OpenAI specializing in scenario planning, and departed in 2024 by refusing to sign a non-disparagement agreement, forgoing approximately $2 million in equity to preserve his ability to speak publicly about AI safety concerns. He is a prolific writer on LessWrong and the Alignment Forum, with over 100 posts covering AI timelines, takeoff speeds, decision theory, and existential risk from advanced AI. He co-authored the landmark scenario forecast AI 2027 (published April 2025 with Scott Alexander and others), projecting rapid progress toward AGI by the end of 2027, and was named to TIME's TIME100 AI list in both 2024 and 2025.

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