Nuño Sempere
Bio
Nuño Sempere is a researcher, forecaster, and programmer based in Asunción, Paraguay, best known as a co-founder of Samotsvety, one of the world's top superforecasting teams that won the CSET-Foretell competition by a substantial margin. He is co-founder and Head of Foresight at Sentinel, a nonprofit that publishes weekly early-warning briefs on global catastrophic risks by processing millions of news items and applying expert foresight. He previously worked at the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute (QURI), where he built Metaforecast.org, an aggregator of prediction market data across platforms, and contributed to the Squiggle probabilistic programming language used for quantified uncertainty estimation. He runs Shapley Maximizers, an independent consultancy focused on estimation, evaluation, and impact auditing, and publishes a monthly forecasting newsletter with over 7,000 subscribers covering prediction markets and forecasting platforms. He has received funding from the Long-Term Future Fund for independent research on forecasting and optimal paths to improve the long-term future, and is active on the EA Forum, LessWrong, and the Alignment Forum under the handle NunoSempere.
Links
- Personal Website
- https://nunosempere.com/
- -
- Twitter / X
- LessWrong
- nunosempere
Grants
from Long-Term Future Fund
Discussion
Sign in to join the discussion.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts.
Details
- Last Updated
- Mar 23, 2026, 12:10 AM UTC
- Created
- Mar 20, 2026, 2:56 AM UTC