Sage Future

Sage (Sage Future Inc) is a US 501(c)(3) nonprofit founded in 2022 and based in Dover, Delaware. The organization was originally established by forecasting researchers Eli Lifland, Aaron Ho, and Misha Yagudin with the goal of creating a forecasting platform and paid forecasting team focused on high-impact predictions in areas like AI governance. After early challenges making resolvable questions for AI governance topics, the organization pivoted toward building epistemics training tools for the broader effective altruism and AI safety community. Adam Binksmith, a former PhD student in Human-Computer Interaction at a UK university, joined and became Director. He leads strategy, product direction, hiring, impact evaluation, and fundraising. The current technical team includes Zak Miller, Shoshannah Tekofsky, and Simon Steshin, with founding advisors Eli Lifland, Aaron Ho, and Misha Yagudin, and Daniel Kokotajlo advising on the AI Village project. Sage's flagship products are Fatebook, a prediction-tracking tool available on the web, Slack, Discord, and as a Chrome extension; Quantified Intuitions, which provides calibration games, pastcasting on resolved Metaculus questions, and estimation exercises; and AI Digest, a growing suite of interactive explainers and demonstrations of current AI capabilities intended to inform policymakers and the general public. AI Village is an experimental project documenting frontier AI systems pursuing real-world goals. Sage received initial funding from the FTX Future Fund in 2022, and later received a $1.1 million grant from Good Ventures Foundation and $27,000 from Silicon Valley Community Foundation (reported in 2024 filings). The organization's 2024 990 filing reported total revenues of approximately $1.5 million and total expenses of approximately $699,000. Sage accepts donations through Every.org and direct channels.