People
Updated 05/18/26Co-Founder
Curriculum Developer & Instructor
Curriculum Developer & Instructor
Curriculum Developer & Instructor
Curriculum Developer & Instructor
Curriculum Developer & Instructor
Curriculum Developer & Instructor
Funding Details
Updated 05/18/26- Annual Budget
- $10,154,994
- Current Runway
- 4 months
- Funding Goal
- $200,000
- Funding Raised to Date
- -
Org Details
Updated 05/18/26The Center for Applied Rationality (CFAR) is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization headquartered in Berkeley, California, dedicated to developing and teaching techniques for clearer thinking and better decision-making. Its tagline is "The examined life. Via trial and error." CFAR was founded in 2012 by Julia Galef, Anna Salamon, Michael "Valentine" Smith, and Andrew Critch. The organization originated as an extension of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI), with the goal of improving participants' rationality using techniques drawn from mathematics, decision theory, psychology, and behavioral economics. From 2012 through early 2020, CFAR ran approximately 60 immersive 4.5-day workshops, building an alumni community of over 1,300 people. Workshop curricula covered techniques such as Inner Simulator, Trigger-Action Planning (TAPs), Goal Factoring, Double Crux, Focusing, Resolve Cycles, Comfort Zone Expansion (CoZE), and Hamming Questions. Workshops typically included around 25 participants with about 10 instructors, and achieved an average satisfaction rating of 9.2 out of 10. In 2018, CFAR purchased a permanent venue in Bodega Bay, California -- a former bed and breakfast called the Bay Hill Mansion -- with an $800,000 down payment grant from the Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative (BERI). This significantly reduced their venue costs compared to previous rental arrangements. After the onset of COVID-19 in 2020, CFAR entered a roughly five-year period of reduced operations. During this hiatus, the organization quietly regrouped and reassessed its approach. In 2025, under the leadership of President Anna Salamon, CFAR renewed operations and began running pilot workshops in Austin, Texas, and San Francisco, featuring a roughly 50/50 mix of classic CFAR content and newer experimental material. CFAR also fiscally sponsors SPARC (Summer Program on Applied Rationality and Cognition), a free two-week summer program for approximately 30 mathematically gifted high school students, covering probability, game theory, information theory, cognitive biases, and microeconomics. The organization currently operates with a lean team of approximately eight part-time curriculum developers and instructors, and has expressed a desire to be known as "a Center for Applied Rationality" rather than "the Center for Applied Rationality," reflecting its intention not to be the sole canonical locus for rationality training.
Theory of Change
Updated 05/18/26CFAR believes that improving the quality of human reasoning is critical for navigating increasingly powerful technologies and complex global challenges. Their theory of change operates through several channels: (1) directly training individuals who work on high-impact problems, especially AI safety, by giving them better cognitive tools for clearer thinking and decision-making; (2) building a community of practice around rationality techniques where participants continue to develop and refine these skills after workshops; (3) developing and iterating on a curriculum of practical rationality techniques drawn from cognitive science and decision theory, making abstract research findings actionable; and (4) growing a pipeline of talent for the AI safety and effective altruism ecosystems through programs like SPARC that engage promising young people early. The underlying belief is that many of the most important decisions affecting humanity's future will be made by relatively small numbers of people, and improving those people's thinking can have outsized positive effects on existential risk reduction.
Grants Received
Updated 05/18/26Projects
Updated 05/18/26A free, highly selective summer program that trains talented high school students to develop quantitative thinking skills and apply them to themselves and the world using ideas from mathematics, cognitive science, and decision-making.
Discussion
Key risk: After a five-year operational pause, the key concern is that the causal link from new CFAR workshops to durable, counterfactual reductions in AI x-risk is weakly evidenced and likely dominated by selection effects, making lasting impact and cost-effectiveness dependent on hard-to-measure behavior change in already highly selected participants.
Case for funding: CFAR is restarting its intensive applied rationality workshops with a refined curriculum (mixing classic units like Double Crux/TAPs with new material) and continues the SPARC pipeline, positioning it to directly upgrade the epistemics of current and future AI safety practitioners—a uniquely leveraged intervention given its 1,300-alumni network and track record teaching actionable decision tools.