Guesstimate

Guesstimate is an online spreadsheet application where cells can contain probability distributions instead of point values, with Monte Carlo simulation used to propagate uncertainty through a model. It has been widely used in the effective altruism community for Fermi estimates and cost-effectiveness analyses and is now maintained by QURI, which treats it as a precursor and complement to Squiggle and Squiggle Hub.

Endorsements support Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute.

No endorsements yet.

Discussion

Start Date

-

End Date

-

Expected Duration

-

Funding Raised to Date

-